Matt Adams vs Mike Kyle
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record23-19-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'3"
75"ReachTBD
263 lbsWeight220 lbs
Raw MMATeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1639 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1582
If they lose-24→ 1534
If they win+12→ 1567
If they lose-12→ 1543
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1509 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt AdamsMike Kyle
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Kyle54%
Matt Adams 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Kyle a 54% favorite over Matt Adams in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Adams's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1558 vs 1555), separated by just 3 points.
Mike Kyle enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matt Adams finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mike Kyle 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.