Matt Adams vs Neil Grove
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-3-0Record12-8-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
5'10"Height6'6"
75"ReachTBD
263 lbsWeight264 lbs
Raw MMATeamDaigaku Karate Kai London
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-24→ 1536
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1512 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1589 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt AdamsNeil Grove
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Adams79%
Neil Grove 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Adams a 79% favorite over Neil Grove in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1560 vs 1557), separated by just 3 points.
Neil Grove enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Adams finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Neil Grove 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.