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Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Dwyer vs Michael Obodozie

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-9-0Record2-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
44,0"Reach-
183 lbsWeight176 lbs
Toshido Mixed Martial ArtsTeamPhoenix Sport Kassel

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt DwyerNow 1564
If they win+16→ 1580
If they lose-16→ 1548
Michael ObodozieNow 1565
If they win+24→ 1589
If they lose-24→ 1541

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1560 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.57
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
34%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
55%
Strike defense
Not available
0.44
Takedown avg.
Not available
10%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Matt DwyerMichael Obodozie
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (82%)
KO/TKO
2 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Obodozie59%
Matt Dwyer 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Obodozie a 59% favorite over Matt Dwyer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1564 vs 1565), separated by just 1 points.

Matt Dwyer enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Michael Obodozie enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Matt Dwyer finishes 82% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.