Matt Dwyer vs Mickey Gall
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record7-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'4"Height6'2"
44,0"Reach74"
183 lbsWeight170 lbs
Toshido Mixed Martial ArtsTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
If they win+16→ 1581
If they lose-16→ 1549
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt DwyerMickey Gall
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mickey Gall52%
Matt Dwyer 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Mickey Gall a 52% favorite over Matt Dwyer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1565), separated by just 2 points.
Matt Dwyer enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Mickey Gall enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matt Dwyer finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Mickey Gall 86%.
Matt Dwyer and Mickey Gall share 1 common opponent: Randy Brown.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.