Matt Dwyer vs Wissame Akhmouch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-9-0Record7-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'4"Height5'10"
44,0"Reach-
183 lbsWeight168 lbs
Toshido Mixed Martial ArtsTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
If they win+16→ 1579
If they lose-16→ 1547
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1598 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt DwyerWissame Akhmouch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Wissame Akhmouch53%
Matt Dwyer 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Wissame Akhmouch a 53% favorite over Matt Dwyer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Dwyer's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1563 vs 1563), separated by just 0 points.
Matt Dwyer enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Wissame Akhmouch enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Dwyer finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Wissame Akhmouch 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.