Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Grice vs Matt Veach

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Grice
us

Matt Grice

“The Real One”

15-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight170 lbs
R-1 MMATeamFinney's MMA

What's at stake

Matt Grice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Matt Veach carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matt GriceNow 1674
If they win+15→ 1689
If they lose-17→ 1657
Matt VeachNow 1654
If they win+17→ 1671
If they lose-15→ 1639

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.09
Sig. strikes / min
1.12
53%
Strike accuracy
29%
2.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.91
56%
Strike defense
45%
2.19
Takedown avg.
3.64
38%
Takedown accuracy
38%
82%
Takedown defense
100%
0.49
Submission avg.
1.46

Trajectory

Matt GriceMatt Veach
16501700201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
5 (29%)
3 (20%)
Submission
8 (47%)
5 (33%)
Decision
4 (24%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Grice56%
Matt Veach 44%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Grice a 56% favorite over Matt Veach in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Matt Grice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1674 to 1654, a 20-point edge.

Matt Grice finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Matt Veach 76%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.