Matt Grice vs Shannon Gugerty
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record15-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
R-1 MMATeamVictory MMA
What's at stake
Matt Grice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Shannon Gugerty carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1685
If they lose-22→ 1653
If they win+22→ 1557
If they lose-10→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt GriceShannon Gugerty
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Grice70%
Shannon Gugerty 30%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Grice a 70% favorite over Shannon Gugerty in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Matt Grice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1535, a 140-point edge.
Matt Grice finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shannon Gugerty 100%.
Matt Grice and Shannon Gugerty share 1 common opponent: Dennis Bermudez.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.