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Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Grice vs Terry Etim

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Grice
us

Matt Grice

“The Real One”

15-5-0FeatherweightUFC

1675Good

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
R-1 MMATeamTeam Kaobon

What's at stake

Matt Grice is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Terry Etim carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matt GriceNow 1675
If they win+12→ 1687
If they lose-20→ 1655
Terry EtimNow 1591
If they win+20→ 1611
If they lose-12→ 1579

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1565 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.09
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
53%
Strike accuracy
36%
2.69
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
56%
Strike defense
67%
2.19
Takedown avg.
0.43
38%
Takedown accuracy
30%
82%
Takedown defense
39%
0.49
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Matt GriceTerry Etim
160016501700201120122013

Win method breakdown

7 (47%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
3 (20%)
Submission
12 (75%)
5 (33%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Grice54%
Terry Etim 46%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Grice a 54% favorite over Terry Etim in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Matt Grice holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1675 to 1591, a 84-point edge.

Matt Grice finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Terry Etim 88%.

Matt Grice and Terry Etim share 1 common opponent: Shannon Gugerty.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinSubmission · 2009
Shannon Gugerty
WinSubmission · 2009