Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Hamill vs Michael Bisping

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Hamill
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Matt Hamill

“The Hammer”

13-8-0Light HeavyweightMAV

1556Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record30-9-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach75″
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
IndependentTeamHB Ultimate

What's at stake

Michael Bisping is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Matt Hamill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matt HamillNow 1556
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-8→ 1548
Michael BispingNow 1741
If they win+6→ 1747
If they lose-18→ 1723

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1748 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.69
Sig. strikes / min
4.33
42%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
61%
Strike defense
65%
3
Takedown avg.
1.05
34%
Takedown accuracy
43%
92%
Takedown defense
63%
0
Submission avg.
0.32

Trajectory

Matt HamillMichael Bisping
150016001700201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
18 (60%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (7%)
5 (42%)
Decision
10 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Michael Bisping83%
Matt Hamill 17%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Michael Bisping a 83% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Michael Bisping holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1741 to 1556, a 185-point edge.

Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Michael Bisping enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Michael Bisping 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.