Matt Hamill vs Norbert Pietrzak
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record3-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight206 lbs
IndependentTeamPro-Core HQ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1572
If they lose-16→ 1540
If they win+24→ 1577
If they lose-24→ 1529
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt HamillNorbert Pietrzak
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norbert Pietrzak61%
Matt Hamill 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Pietrzak a 61% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hamill's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1553), separated by just 3 points.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Norbert Pietrzak 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.