Matt Hamill vs Quinton Jackson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record38-14-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'1"
TBDReach73"
205 lbsWeight265 lbs
IndependentTeamWolfslair Academy
What's at stake
Quinton Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Matt Hamill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1579
If they lose-9→ 1547
If they win+6→ 1737
If they lose-18→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1685 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt HamillQuinton Jackson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Quinton Jackson81%
Matt Hamill 19%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Quinton Jackson a 81% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Quinton Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1556, a 175-point edge.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Quinton Jackson 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.