Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Hamill vs Reese Andy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Matt Hamill
us

Matt Hamill

“The Hammer”

13-8-0Light HeavyweightMAV

1556Solid
Reese Andy
us

Reese Andy

“Riptide”

7-3-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1591Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record7-3-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
IndependentTeamWest Coast Fight Team

What's at stake

Reese Andy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Matt Hamill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matt HamillNow 1556
If they win+18→ 1574
If they lose-14→ 1542
Reese AndyNow 1591
If they win+14→ 1605
If they lose-18→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.87
42%
Strike accuracy
51%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.50
61%
Strike defense
59%
3
Takedown avg.
0.67
34%
Takedown accuracy
20%
92%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matt HamillReese Andy
1500155016001650200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (29%)
5 (42%)
Decision
4 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matt Hamill and Reese Andy within a point of even.

Reese Andy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1591 to 1556, a 35-point edge.

Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Reese Andy enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Reese Andy 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.