Matt Hamill vs Rex Holman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Rex Holman
Elo1541AverageTale of the tape
13-8-0Record4-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
IndependentTeamTBD
What's at stake
Matt Hamill is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Rex Holman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1571
If they lose-17→ 1539
If they win+25→ 1566
If they lose-23→ 1518
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1472 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt HamillRex Holman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rex Holman58%
Matt Hamill 42%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Rex Holman a 58% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hamill's way (48%).
Matt Hamill holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1556 to 1541, a 15-point edge.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Rex Holman enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rex Holman 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.