AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Hamill vs Rex Holman

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Matt Hamill
us

Matt Hamill

“The Hammer”

13-8-0Light HeavyweightMAV

1554Solid

Tale of the tape

13-8-0Record4-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt HamillNow 1554
If they win+15→ 1569
If they lose-17→ 1537
Rex HolmanNow 1541
If they win+25→ 1566
If they lose-23→ 1518

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1472 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.75
42%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
7.25
61%
Strike defense
41%
3
Takedown avg.
0
34%
Takedown accuracy
0%
92%
Takedown defense
100%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matt HamillRex Holman
150015502006200720082009201020112012201320142015201620172018

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (25%)
5 (42%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Hamill61%
Rex Holman 39%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Hamill a 61% favorite over Rex Holman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1541), separated by just 13 points.

Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Rex Holman enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Rex Holman 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.