Matt Hamill vs Roger Hollett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record13-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
IndependentTeamTitans MMA
What's at stake
Roger Hollett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Matt Hamill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1573
If they lose-15→ 1541
If they win+15→ 1603
If they lose-17→ 1571
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt HamillRoger Hollett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roger Hollett60%
Matt Hamill 40%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Roger Hollett a 60% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Roger Hollett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1556, a 32-point edge.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Roger Hollett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Roger Hollett 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.