Matt Hamill vs Roger Hollett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record13-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
IndependentTeamTitans MMA
What's at stake
Roger Hollett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Matt Hamill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1572
If they lose-14→ 1540
If they win+14→ 1602
If they lose-18→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1526 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt HamillRoger Hollett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Hamill56%
Roger Hollett 44%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Hamill a 56% favorite over Roger Hollett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Hollett's way (45%).
Roger Hollett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1554, a 34-point edge.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Roger Hollett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Roger Hollett 85%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.