Matt Hamill vs Seth Petruzelli
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record14-8-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
IndependentTeamThe Jungle MMA
What's at stake
Seth Petruzelli is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Matt Hamill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1571
If they lose-15→ 1539
If they win+15→ 1594
If they lose-17→ 1562
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1631 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt HamillSeth Petruzelli
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Seth Petruzelli56%
Matt Hamill 44%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Seth Petruzelli a 56% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Seth Petruzelli holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1579 to 1554, a 25-point edge.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Seth Petruzelli enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Seth Petruzelli 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.