Matt Hamill vs Tito Ortiz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-8-0Record21-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
IndependentTeamTeam Punishment
What's at stake
Tito Ortiz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Matt Hamill carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+25→ 1581
If they lose-7→ 1549
If they win+5→ 1794
If they lose-19→ 1770
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1637 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt HamillTito Ortiz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tito Ortiz83%
Matt Hamill 17%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Tito Ortiz a 83% favorite over Matt Hamill in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Tito Ortiz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1789 to 1556, a 233-point edge.
Matt Hamill enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tito Ortiz enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Matt Hamill finishes 58% of wins inside the distance, Tito Ortiz 71%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.