Matt Hobar vs Olivier Poisson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record6-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'9"
70,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Octagon MMATeamH2O MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
If they win+24→ 1630
If they lose-24→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt HobarOlivier Poisson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Olivier Poisson55%
Matt Hobar 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Olivier Poisson a 55% favorite over Matt Hobar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hobar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1606), separated by just 0 points.
Olivier Poisson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Matt Hobar finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Olivier Poisson 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.