Matt Hobar vs Osimkhon Rakhmonov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record17-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach65.4"
135 lbsWeight137 lbs
Octagon MMATeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt HobarOsimkhon Rakhmonov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Osimkhon Rakhmonov79%
Matt Hobar 21%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Osimkhon Rakhmonov a 79% favorite over Matt Hobar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hobar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1608 vs 1607), separated by just 1 points.
Matt Hobar finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Osimkhon Rakhmonov 65%.
Matt Hobar carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.