Matt Hobar vs Pedro Munhoz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record20-10-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Octagon MMATeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Pedro Munhoz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Matt Hobar carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+20→ 1628
If they lose-12→ 1596
If they win+9→ 1705
If they lose-15→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1745 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt HobarPedro Munhoz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pedro Munhoz53%
Matt Hobar 47%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Munhoz a 53% favorite over Matt Hobar in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Pedro Munhoz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1608, a 88-point edge.
Pedro Munhoz enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Hobar finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Munhoz 65%.
Matt Hobar carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.