Matt Hobar vs Willie van Rooyen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record8-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'10"Height5'7"
70,0"Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
Octagon MMATeamA-Team Stars
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt HobarWillie van Rooyen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Willie van Rooyen52%
Matt Hobar 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Willie van Rooyen a 52% favorite over Matt Hobar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Hobar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Matt Hobar finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Willie van Rooyen 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.