Matt Horwich vs Nick Klein
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
30-25-1Record6-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'11"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
186 lbsWeight205 lbs
Legends MMATeamPura Vida BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1541 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt HorwichNick Klein
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Klein66%
Matt Horwich 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Klein a 66% favorite over Matt Horwich in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Horwich's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.
Matt Horwich enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nick Klein enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Horwich finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Nick Klein 83%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.