Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Horwich vs Rayan Kadosoe

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

30-25-1Record4-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
TBDReach76.7"
186 lbsWeight170 lbs
Legends MMATeamFirst Class Boxing

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt HorwichNow 1567
If they win+12→ 1579
If they lose-12→ 1555
Rayan KadosoeNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1542 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 5 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matt HorwichRayan Kadosoe
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (20%)
KO/TKO
1 (25%)
21 (70%)
Submission
2 (50%)
3 (10%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Rayan Kadosoe63%
Matt Horwich 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Kadosoe a 63% favorite over Matt Horwich in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Horwich's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1567), separated by just 0 points.

Matt Horwich enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Matt Horwich finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Kadosoe 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.