Matt Hughes vs Sean Sherk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
45-9-0Record36-4-1
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'6"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
HIT SquadTeamMinnesota Martial Arts Academy
What's at stake
Matt Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Sean Sherk carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1816
If they lose-15→ 1792
If they win+15→ 1737
If they lose-9→ 1713
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1594 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt HughesSean Sherk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Hughes70%
Sean Sherk 30%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Hughes a 70% favorite over Sean Sherk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Matt Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1807 to 1722, a 85-point edge.
Matt Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sean Sherk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Matt Hughes finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Sean Sherk 58%.
Matt Hughes and Sean Sherk share 2 common opponents: BJ Penn and Georges St-Pierre.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.