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Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Hughes vs Valeri Ignatov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

45-9-0Record1-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight191 lbs
HIT SquadTeamShamrock 2000

What's at stake

Matt Hughes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +3 while a loss costs more — Valeri Ignatov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matt HughesNow 1807
If they win+3→ 1810
If they lose-21→ 1786
Valeri IgnatovNow 1466
If they win+42→ 1508
If they lose-6→ 1460

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1626 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.14
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
53%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.36
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
54%
Strike defense
Not available
2.95
Takedown avg.
Not available
50%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
35%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.18
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Matt HughesValeri Ignatov
1500160017001800200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011

Win method breakdown

21 (47%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
14 (31%)
Submission
1 (100%)
10 (22%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Hughes81%
Valeri Ignatov 19%Elo baseline: 88%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Hughes a 81% favorite over Valeri Ignatov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (88%).

Matt Hughes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1807 to 1466, a 341-point edge.

Matt Hughes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Valeri Ignatov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Hughes finishes 78% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.