Matt Kovacs vs Sascha Weinpolter
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-19-0Record14-6-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
262 lbsWeight240 lbs
Catalyst Fight HouseTeamIron Fist Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1530
If they lose-12→ 1506
If they win+25→ 1534
If they lose-23→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1504 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt KovacsSascha Weinpolter
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sascha Weinpolter62%
Matt Kovacs 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Sascha Weinpolter a 62% favorite over Matt Kovacs in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Kovacs's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1518 vs 1509), separated by just 9 points.
Matt Kovacs finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Sascha Weinpolter 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.