Matt Lindland vs Pat Miletich
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record29-8-2
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight169 lbs
Team QuestTeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
Matt Lindland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Pat Miletich carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1738
If they lose-15→ 1714
If they win+15→ 1663
If they lose-9→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt LindlandPat Miletich
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Lindland78%
Pat Miletich 22%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Lindland a 78% favorite over Pat Miletich in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Matt Lindland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1648, a 81-point edge.
Matt Lindland finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Pat Miletich 79%.
Matt Lindland and Pat Miletich share 1 common opponent: Carlos Newton.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.