Matt Lindland vs Phil Baroni
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record16-19-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team QuestTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
Matt Lindland is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Phil Baroni carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+6→ 1735
If they lose-18→ 1711
If they win+18→ 1565
If they lose-6→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1668 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt LindlandPhil Baroni
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Lindland76%
Phil Baroni 24%Elo baseline: 74%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Lindland a 76% favorite over Phil Baroni in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).
Matt Lindland holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1729 to 1547, a 182-point edge.
Matt Lindland finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Phil Baroni 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.