Matt Lucas vs Predrag Božović
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1545
If they lose-24→ 1497
If they win+24→ 1550
If they lose-24→ 1502
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt LucasPredrag Božović
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Predrag Božović60%
Matt Lucas 40%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Predrag Božović a 60% favorite over Matt Lucas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1526), separated by just 5 points.
Matt Lucas finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.