Matt Lucas vs Reed Parrish
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record0-0-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight245 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+25→ 1546
If they lose-23→ 1498
If they win+23→ 1552
If they lose-25→ 1504
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Reed Parrish70%
Matt Lucas 30%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Reed Parrish a 70% favorite over Matt Lucas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1529), separated by just 8 points.
Matt Lucas finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.