Matt Lucas vs William Loussala
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-3-0Record2-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1545
If they lose-24→ 1497
If they win+24→ 1551
If they lose-24→ 1503
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1664 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt LucasWilliam Loussala
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
William Loussala59%
Matt Lucas 41%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes William Loussala a 59% favorite over Matt Lucas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1521 vs 1527), separated by just 6 points.
Matt Lucas finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.