Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Mitrione vs Travis Browne

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-9-0Record18-7-1
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'3"Height6'7"
43,0"Reach79,0"
255 lbsWeight244 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamGlendale Fighting Club

What's at stake

Travis Browne is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matt Mitrione carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matt MitrioneNow 1632
If they win+19→ 1651
If they lose-13→ 1619
Travis BrowneNow 1696
If they win+10→ 1706
If they lose-14→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1707 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1743 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.55
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
50%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.79
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.31
65%
Strike defense
43%
0
Takedown avg.
1.21
0%
Takedown accuracy
69%
55%
Takedown defense
75%
0.68
Submission avg.
0.22

Trajectory

Matt MitrioneTravis Browne
1650170017502015201620172018201920202021

Win method breakdown

11 (85%)
KO/TKO
14 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (11%)
2 (15%)
Decision
2 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Travis Browne78%
Matt Mitrione 22%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Travis Browne a 78% favorite over Matt Mitrione in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Travis Browne holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1632, a 64-point edge.

Matt Mitrione enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Matt Mitrione finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Travis Browne 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.