Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Schnell vs Michael Cyr

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Michael Cyr
us

Michael Cyr

“The Mullet”

8-3-0BantamweightPFL

1600Solid

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record8-3-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70"Reach71.5"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Fortis MMATeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt SchnellNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Michael CyrNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1514 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
40%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
55%
Strike defense
TBD
0.60
Takedown avg.
TBD
45%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
43%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.21
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Matt SchnellMichael Cyr
1600165020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
9 (56%)
Submission
7 (88%)
5 (31%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matt Schnell and Michael Cyr within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1600), separated by just 6 points.

Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Michael Cyr enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Schnell finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Michael Cyr 100%.

Michael Cyr carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.