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Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Schnell vs Rob Font

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Rob Font
us

Rob Font

22-10-0BantamweightUFC

1731Good

Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record22-10-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamNew England Cartel

What's at stake

Rob Font is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Matt Schnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matt SchnellNow 1613
If they win+16→ 1629
If they lose-8→ 1605
Rob FontNow 1731
If they win+8→ 1739
If they lose-16→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1744 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
5.36
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
55%
Strike defense
57%
0.60
Takedown avg.
0.74
45%
Takedown accuracy
30%
43%
Takedown defense
44%
1.21
Submission avg.
0.34

Trajectory

Matt SchnellRob Font
1600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
9 (41%)
9 (56%)
Submission
4 (18%)
5 (31%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Rob Font71%
Matt Schnell 29%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Rob Font a 71% favorite over Matt Schnell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Rob Font holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1731 to 1613, a 118-point edge.

Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Rob Font enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Schnell finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Rob Font 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.