Matt Schnell vs Ruslan Nazhmudinov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record10-2-0
FlyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'8"Height6'2"
70"Reach-
135 lbsWeight205 lbs
Fortis MMATeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1618 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt SchnellRuslan Nazhmudinov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ruslan Nazhmudinov60%
Matt Schnell 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Ruslan Nazhmudinov a 60% favorite over Matt Schnell in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Schnell's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1600), separated by just 6 points.
Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Matt Schnell finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Nazhmudinov 56%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.