Matt Schnell vs Tyson Nam
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-11-0Record23-14-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamSports Lab
What's at stake
Tyson Nam is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matt Schnell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1619
If they lose-11→ 1595
If they win+11→ 1640
If they lose-13→ 1616
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt SchnellTyson Nam
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Schnell62%
Tyson Nam 38%Elo baseline: 47%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Schnell a 62% favorite over Tyson Nam in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tyson Nam's way (47%).
Tyson Nam holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1629 to 1606, a 23-point edge.
Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tyson Nam enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matt Schnell finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Nam 70%.
Matt Schnell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.