Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Schnell vs Tyson Nam

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-11-0Record23-16-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fortis MMATeamSports Lab

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt SchnellNow 1606
If they win+12→ 1618
If they lose-12→ 1594
Tyson NamNow 1602
If they win+12→ 1614
If they lose-12→ 1590

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.07
Sig. strikes / min
3.87
40%
Strike accuracy
34%
4.11
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.97
55%
Strike defense
65%
0.60
Takedown avg.
0
45%
Takedown accuracy
0%
43%
Takedown defense
88%
1.21
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matt SchnellTyson Nam
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (13%)
KO/TKO
15 (65%)
9 (56%)
Submission
1 (4%)
5 (31%)
Decision
7 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Matt Schnell60%
Tyson Nam 40%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Matt Schnell a 60% favorite over Tyson Nam in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1602), separated by just 4 points.

Matt Schnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Tyson Nam enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matt Schnell finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Tyson Nam 70%.

Matt Schnell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.