Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Secor vs Wes Schultz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Wes Schultz
us

Wes Schultz

“Party Time”

9-4-0MiddleweightUFC

1603Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record9-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'2"
TBDReach77"
181 lbsWeight185 lbs
Spa City BJJTeamPura Vida BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt SecorNow 1602
If they win+16→ 1618
If they lose-16→ 1586
Wes SchultzNow 1603
If they win+16→ 1619
If they lose-16→ 1587

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1569 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.91
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.11
TBD
Strike defense
43%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.39
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
3.59

Trajectory

Matt SecorWes Schultz
160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
8 (80%)
Submission
6 (67%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Wes Schultz63%
Matt Secor 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Wes Schultz a 63% favorite over Matt Secor in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1602 vs 1603), separated by just 1 points.

Matt Secor finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Wes Schultz 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.