Matt Serra vs Rayan Atmani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'6"Height6'1"
68"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Serra-Longo Fight Team· 1771 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamCage Winner DZ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1659 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt SerraRayan Atmani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rayan Atmani66%
Matt Serra 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rayan Atmani a 66% favorite over Matt Serra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Serra's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1605 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.
Rayan Atmani enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Matt Serra finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Rayan Atmani 100%.
Rayan Atmani carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.