Matt Van Buren vs Sean O'Connell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-6-0Record21-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'1"
TBDReach74,0"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team GutterTeamTBD
What's at stake
Sean O'Connell is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Matt Van Buren carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1515
If they lose-10→ 1483
If they win+7→ 1637
If they lose-17→ 1613
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1598 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt Van BurenSean O'Connell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sean O'Connell64%
Matt Van Buren 36%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Sean O'Connell a 64% favorite over Matt Van Buren in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Sean O'Connell holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1630 to 1493, a 137-point edge.
Matt Van Buren enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Sean O'Connell enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Matt Van Buren finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Sean O'Connell 71%.
Matt Van Buren and Sean O'Connell share 1 common opponent: Corey Anderson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.