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Combat Edge Intelligence

Matt Veach vs Niko Samsonidse

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

17-5-0Record13-4-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Finney's MMATeamSpitfire Gym Berlin· 1609 avg Elo · 9 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matt VeachNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
Niko SamsonidseNow 1654
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1559 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1566 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.12
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
29%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.91
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
45%
Strike defense
Not available
3.64
Takedown avg.
Not available
38%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
100%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.46
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Matt VeachNiko Samsonidse
16502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (29%)
KO/TKO
5 (38%)
8 (47%)
Submission
7 (54%)
4 (24%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Niko Samsonidse64%
Matt Veach 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Niko Samsonidse a 64% favorite over Matt Veach in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Veach's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1654), separated by just 0 points.

Matt Veach finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Niko Samsonidse 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.