Matt Wiman vs Michihiro Omigawa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record19-15-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'6"
68,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Skrap PackTeamNeo Judo Academy
What's at stake
Michihiro Omigawa is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matt Wiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1617
If they lose-11→ 1593
If they win+11→ 1655
If they lose-13→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt WimanMichihiro Omigawa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Michihiro Omigawa57%
Matt Wiman 43%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Michihiro Omigawa a 57% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Michihiro Omigawa holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1604, a 40-point edge.
Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Wiman finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Michihiro Omigawa 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.