Matt Wiman vs Sam Stout
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record20-12-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
68,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Skrap PackTeamTeam Tompkins
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1616
If they lose-12→ 1592
If they win+12→ 1606
If they lose-12→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt WimanSam Stout
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matt Wiman53%
Sam Stout 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Matt Wiman a 53% favorite over Sam Stout in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1604 vs 1594), separated by just 10 points.
Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Sam Stout enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Wiman finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Sam Stout 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.