Matt Wiman vs Spencer Fisher
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record24-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
68,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Skrap PackTeamTBD
What's at stake
Spencer Fisher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Matt Wiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1619
If they lose-10→ 1595
If they win+10→ 1664
If they lose-14→ 1640
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt WimanSpencer Fisher
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Spencer Fisher54%
Matt Wiman 46%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes Spencer Fisher a 54% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
Spencer Fisher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1605, a 49-point edge.
Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Spencer Fisher enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Wiman finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Spencer Fisher 79%.
Matt Wiman and Spencer Fisher share 1 common opponent: Dennis Siver.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.