Matt Wiman vs Thiago Tavares
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record24-11-1
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'10"Height5'7"
68,0"Reach68,0"
155 lbsWeight145 lbs
Skrap PackTeamTeam Tavares
What's at stake
Thiago Tavares is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Matt Wiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1617
If they lose-11→ 1593
If they win+11→ 1656
If they lose-13→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1586 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matt WimanThiago Tavares
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Thiago Tavares60%
Matt Wiman 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Thiago Tavares a 60% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Thiago Tavares holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1645 to 1604, a 41-point edge.
Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matt Wiman finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Tavares 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.