Matt Wiman vs TJ Grant
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-10-0Record21-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
68,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Skrap PackTeamFit Plus
What's at stake
TJ Grant is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Matt Wiman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1619
If they lose-10→ 1595
If they win+14→ 1667
If they lose-18→ 1635
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matt WimanTJ Grant
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
TJ Grant72%
Matt Wiman 28%Elo baseline: 57%
The Combat Edge model makes TJ Grant a 72% favorite over Matt Wiman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).
TJ Grant holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1653 to 1605, a 48-point edge.
Matt Wiman enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
TJ Grant enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Matt Wiman finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, TJ Grant 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.