Matthew Elliott vs Mohammad Yahya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-7-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'9"
-Reach73"
146 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTK MMA & Fitness
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matthew ElliottMohammad Yahya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew Elliott55%
Mohammad Yahya 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Elliott a 55% favorite over Mohammad Yahya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1567), separated by just 2 points.
Matthew Elliott enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mohammad Yahya enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Matthew Elliott finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Mohammad Yahya 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.