Matthew Elliott vs Thomas Paull
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-2-0Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
Fight Academy Ireland· 1585 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Underground MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Matthew ElliottThomas Paull
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew Elliott68%
Thomas Paull 32%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Elliott a 68% favorite over Thomas Paull in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1569), separated by just 0 points.
Matthew Elliott enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Matthew Elliott finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Paull 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.