Matthew Lopez vs Paula Sanchez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record1-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'3"
69.00Reach-
135 lbsWeight130 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488
If they win+24→ 1535
If they lose-24→ 1487
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1482 · 3 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matthew LopezPaula Sanchez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew Lopez61%
Paula Sanchez 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Lopez a 61% favorite over Paula Sanchez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1511), separated by just 1 points.
Matthew Lopez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matthew Lopez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.