Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew Lopez vs Rani Yahya

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record28-12-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
69.00Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Genesis Training CenterTeamConstrictor Team

What's at stake

Rani Yahya is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Matthew Lopez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Matthew LopezNow 1512
If they win+35→ 1547
If they lose-13→ 1499
Rani YahyaNow 1690
If they win+6→ 1696
If they lose-18→ 1672

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
1.71
51%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.08
55%
Strike defense
50%
3.32
Takedown avg.
2.73
60%
Takedown accuracy
31%
71%
Takedown defense
29%
1.33
Submission avg.
1.82

Trajectory

Matthew LopezRani Yahya
15001600170020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
4 (40%)
Submission
21 (75%)
2 (20%)
Decision
7 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Rani Yahya72%
Matthew Lopez 28%Elo baseline: 74%

The Combat Edge model makes Rani Yahya a 72% favorite over Matthew Lopez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (74%).

Rani Yahya holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1690 to 1512, a 178-point edge.

Matthew Lopez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Rani Yahya enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matthew Lopez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Rani Yahya 75%.

Matthew Lopez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.