Matthew Lopez vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-4-0Record5-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69.00Reach71"
135 lbsWeight140 lbs
Genesis Training CenterTeamGreat Britain Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488
If they win+16→ 1525
If they lose-16→ 1493
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1674 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Matthew LopezShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew Lopez60%
Shane Campbell 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Lopez a 60% favorite over Shane Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1509), separated by just 3 points.
Matthew Lopez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Matthew Lopez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 20%.
Shane Campbell carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.