Combat Edge Intelligence

Matthew Lopez vs Teruto Ishihara

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record14-14-3
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
69.00Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Genesis Training CenterTeamTeam Alpha Male

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Matthew LopezNow 1512
If they win+24→ 1536
If they lose-24→ 1488
Teruto IshiharaNow 1508
If they win+12→ 1520
If they lose-12→ 1496

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1674 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1545 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.73
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.63
55%
Strike defense
54%
3.32
Takedown avg.
0.50
60%
Takedown accuracy
17%
71%
Takedown defense
31%
1.33
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Matthew LopezTeruto Ishihara
15001550201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
11 (79%)
4 (40%)
Submission
1 (7%)
2 (20%)
Decision
2 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Matthew Lopez and Teruto Ishihara within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1512 vs 1508), separated by just 4 points.

Matthew Lopez enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Teruto Ishihara enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Matthew Lopez finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Teruto Ishihara 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.